How much could this token move next?
Predictix reads two weeks of real hourly price and volume, measures how violently the token has been moving, and projects that turbulence forward as a cone of uncertainty. It is a statistical estimate of range — not a call on direction, and not a promise about the future.
Realized volatility measured
Return distribution 335 hourly moves
Unusual activity last 24h vs 14d baseline
What "volatility" means here
We take the standard deviation of hourly log-returns over the last two weeks, then scale it by the square root of time to get daily and annualized figures. It measures the width of likely moves, not their direction.
Why a cone, not a line
Uncertainty compounds. If an hour has a typical swing of σ, then h hours out the plausible range widens with √h. The shaded cone is that math projected forward from the last price — wider bands mean less certainty, not a forecast of a crash or rally.
Honest limits
Fourteen days is a small sample, volatility clusters and shifts, and crypto returns have fatter tails than the normal curve assumes — real moves land outside the ±2σ band more often than 5% of the time. Treat every number as an estimate with error bars.